The Winlock numbers, the Winlock laws

While Eugene’s busy taking bets (wonder how much he’s going to make?), I’ve been having a think about the Winlock case.

Russian law enforcement is estimating that the bad guys could have raked in as much as $1 billion. While it’s difficult to be certain about the exact amounts involved (obviously they spread their money across a lot of different accounts to avoid attracting attention), a little bit of simple math makes me think this figure isn’t as crazy as it might sound.

Our statistical analysis tells us there could be around a million people who’ve been infected. 10 cybercriminals, each getting a cut of a ransom between $10 and $30 – even though they were paying out $3 per infection to the people willing to spread this malware, the numbers add up pretty quickly.

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